AEK Athens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ERG
0 - 1
AEK
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
AEK
0 - 0
OLP
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
AEK
4 - 1
KAL
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
ZEN
5 - 1
AEK
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
46%
28%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
LIL
3 - 2
LYO
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
IST
0 - 2
LIL
30%
29%
41%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
ZEN
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |