AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ETH
0 - 3
AEK
27%
31%
42%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
AEK
2 - 1
PAO
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
APO
0 - 0
AEK
32%
31%
38%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
AEK
2 - 0
APS
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
LEV
0 - 1
AEK
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
LAR
1 - 4
PAN
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
XAN
0 - 0
LAR
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
LAR
2 - 0
OLY
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
ION
0 - 0
LAR
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
PAN
3 - 0
LAR
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |