AEK Athens vs Lamia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
4º
2º
9
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 55 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 51 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 51 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 39 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 31 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 20 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
OFI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
NOA
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
NOA
3 - 1
AEK
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
INT
0 - 4
AEK
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 3
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lamia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 1
LAM
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
LAM
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 0
VNF
44%
24%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
LAM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 1
LAM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |