Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
AEK Athens vs Kerkyra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAN
90%
8%
2%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
KER
1 - 1
AEK
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
AEK
11%
23%
66%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AEK
5 - 1
KAL
89%
9%
2%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
AEK
3 - 0
ATR
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kerkyra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
KER
4 - 0
VER
16%
27%
58%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
KER
1 - 1
AEK
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
KER
0 - 0
XAN
11%
23%
66%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 0
KER
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OFI
3 - 2
KER
78%
17%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |