Cup 1/16
Global 0-1
AEK Athens vs Kavala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 1
ATR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
AOK
0 - 0
AEK
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 0
AEK
23%
27%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
AEK
2 - 1
GIA
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AEK
0 - 1
LEV
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AOK
1 - 2
DOX
72%
20%
8%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
AOK
0 - 0
AEK
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AOK
1 - 0
KAL
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
AOK
69%
21%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AOK
0 - 1
PIE
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |