Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
AEK Athens vs Inter Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
BRA
2 - 0
AEK
51%
21%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
AEK
3 - 1
VOJ
53%
22%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
VOJ
0 - 0
AEK
62%
19%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1972 |
AEK
1 - 3
LIV
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1972 |
LIV
3 - 0
AEK
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
BRA
2 - 0
AEK
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ZAR
2 - 3
BRA
87%
8%
5%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1975 |
BRA
5 - 0
ZAR
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
BRA
1 - 1
GLA
37%
22%
42%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
GLA
4 - 3
BRA
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |