Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
AEK Athens vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 1
AEK
49%
21%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
AKA
0 - 2
AEK
39%
22%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
AEK
0 - 0
AKA
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
JEU
3 - 2
AEK
40%
21%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
AEK
3 - 0
JEU
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 1
AEK
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
TNV
7 - 1
FCR
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 9
TNV
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
TNV
4 - 0
STB
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
STB
3 - 1
TNV
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |