Champions League 1/16
Global 7-5
AEK Athens vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
SDL
4 - 1
AEK
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
AEK
2 - 2
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
AEK
3 - 0
ASA
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ASA
1 - 0
AEK
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
AEK
0 - 1
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
21%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |