Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 2-1
AEK Athens vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AEK
0 - 1
GET
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
AEK
0 - 2
PAN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 0
AEK
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
PAO
2 - 1
AEK
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAO
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DTB
2 - 0
WIT
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TSK
1 - 2
DTB
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
DTB
2 - 0
KRR
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
KRR
1 - 4
DTB
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
DTB
5 - 0
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |