Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 9-2
AEK Athens vs Dinaburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
AEK
2 - 1
PRO
83%
11%
5%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
PAO
0 - 0
AEK
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
AEK
2 - 1
XAN
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
PAN
0 - 2
AEK
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
OLP
2 - 0
AEK
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
DIN
0 - 1
LIE
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
DIN
1 - 1
UNR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
LKD
0 - 1
DIN
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
DIN
0 - 0
FCS
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
VEN
1 - 1
DIN
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |