AEK Athens vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
HAL
2 - 0
AEK
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
AEK
0 - 1
PAN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAN
2 - 1
AEK
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AEK
4 - 0
IRA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ION
0 - 1
AEK
27%
25%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ARI
0 - 1
KAL
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
OFI
3 - 0
ARI
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
XAN
1 - 0
ARI
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ARI
1 - 0
PAN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
ARI
0 - 2
IRA
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |