AEK Athens vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
PAN
0 - 2
AEK
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
AEK
2 - 0
PAN
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
0 - 1
AEK
18%
26%
55%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
AEK
2 - 1
XAN
71%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LAR
1 - 0
AEK
17%
25%
57%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ARI
0 - 0
IRA
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
ETH
3 - 1
ARI
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
ARI
1 - 0
PAN
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
KAL
1 - 1
ARI
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
PAN
2 - 1
ARI
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |