AEK Athens vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAN
0 - 1
AEK
8%
21%
71%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PFC
0 - 0
AEK
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
FOK
0 - 1
AEK
9%
19%
72%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AEK
4 - 0
FOK
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AEK
1 - 2
ROM
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
APS
1 - 0
FOS
86%
11%
3%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
APS
2 - 2
ERG
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
APS
2 - 1
KAL
84%
11%
4%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 1
APS
15%
24%
61%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
OLP
1 - 0
APS
84%
11%
4%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |