Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 4-2
AEK Athens vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AIG
1 - 1
AEK
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
APO
2 - 3
AEK
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
AEK
6 - 2
PAO
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AEK
2 - 1
OLP
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
OLP
4 - 3
AEK
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
APO
4 - 0
AEL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
APO
6 - 3
ANO
40%
22%
38%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
APO
2 - 3
AEK
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
APO
4 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
APO
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |