AEK Athens B vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
48%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
7º
9º
35
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 9 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 2 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
MKN
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MYT
0 - 2
AEK
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 0
APO
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
IRA
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
AEK
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
APO
1 - 3
LAR
7%
21%
73%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 2
LAR
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 0
LEV
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
PTF
1 - 2
LAR
30%
28%
43%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |