AEK Athens B vs Aiolikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
11º
4º
19
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
KAM
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 0
AEK
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 2
AEK
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 3
NIK
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
AEK
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MYT
4 - 2
KAM
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
MYT
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
MYT
0 - 2
NIK
26%
29%
45%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
MYT
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
MYT
85%
12%
3%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |