Atenas vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
14º
12º
16
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 45 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 41 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
14º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
ATE
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
PLA
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
SUD
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ORI
5 - 0
ATE
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ATE
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
ORI
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
CSC
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
TAC
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
TOR
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |