Atenas vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATE
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ATE
0 - 2
MWA
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CER
3 - 2
ATE
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATE
2 - 0
TAC
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 2
LFC
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 3
PEÑ
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 0
DAN
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 4
RIV
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 1
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 3
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |