Atenas vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 1
ATE
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ATE
2 - 2
JUN
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATE
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 0
DAN
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 1
CER
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 0
NAC
21%
25%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LFC
1 - 2
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |