Atenas vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JUN
4 - 2
ATE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 0
MWA
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 3
RAC
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 0
ATE
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 3
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
ETS
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
NAC
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 2
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |