Atenas vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ATE
0 - 5
PEÑ
18%
24%
59%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ATE
0 - 1
CSC
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 4
ATE
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
ATE
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ATE
0 - 0
CEN
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
LFC
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
MWA
2 - 2
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CER
1 - 4
DEF
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAC
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |