Atenas vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
14º
14º
13
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
14 | 51 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 49 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 44 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 38 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 37 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 35 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 35 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 33 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 32 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 31 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 30 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 28 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
JUV
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
ATE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
TOR
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 0
ATE
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
2 - 1
ALB
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSC
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
ALB
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CSC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
SUD
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LUZ
6 - 0
CSC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |