Aduana Stars vs Hearts of Oak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aduana Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
EBU
3 - 1
ADU
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ADU
1 - 0
MED
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BER
1 - 1
ADU
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ADU
2 - 0
ALL
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
TEC
1 - 0
ADU
27%
29%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hearts of Oak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
HEA
0 - 0
ASH
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
DRE
0 - 1
HEA
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HEA
1 - 2
ASA
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 2
HEA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
WES
0 - 0
HEA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |