Adriese vs US Lavis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1186%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
17º
4º
9
18º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 77 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 77 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 71 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 67 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 62 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 60 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 56 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 55 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 50 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 49 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 49 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 48 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 45 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 42 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 37 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 33 |
18º
|
56% | |
|
19º
|
17 | 28 |
19º
|
80% | |
|
|
20º
|
9 | 17 |
20º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
83% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SDA
2 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 1
SDA
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 1
BV5
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
SDA
11%
21%
68%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
US Lavis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LAV
0 - 1
CAL
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
LAV
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 3
BRI
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CNO
3 - 0
LAV
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
0 - 1
ADB
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |