Adriese vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
2º
50
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SDA
2 - 0
CAM
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MES
0 - 3
SDA
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SDA
4 - 4
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SDA
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 3
SDA
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CLO
1 - 1
ACE
64%
23%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ACE
1 - 0
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 0
ACE
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ACE
1 - 1
SAN
25%
24%
52%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 0
ACE
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |