ND Adria Miren vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Adria Miren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SLJ
2 - 0
ADR
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 3
NKS
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 0
ADR
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 0
FVI
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 1
KRA
58%
21%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
ALU
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
DEK
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKI
1 - 2
TOL
9%
14%
77%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
NSV
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |