ND Adria Miren vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Adria Miren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
IVA
2 - 1
ADR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ADR
1 - 1
BRD
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ZAG
1 - 0
ADR
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ADR
1 - 0
DEK
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ADR
2 - 1
AHS
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
TRI
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
BIR
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
NKN
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GOR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FCK
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |