Franciacorta vs US Ponte San Pietro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SER
4 - 4
ADR
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 3
ADR
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
ADR
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
USP
1 - 0
VIL
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
USP
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
USP
1 - 0
CRE
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
NIB
0 - 0
USP
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
USP
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |