Franciacorta vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
ADR
67%
18%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADR
0 - 0
LEN
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ADR
49%
21%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ADR
0 - 1
DAK
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SZE
0 - 2
ADR
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 0
MEZ
38%
23%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -4 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
MOD
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +5 |