Franciacorta vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
4 - 1
ADR
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ADR
3 - 0
AXY
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
USD
0 - 0
ADR
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ADR
2 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
ADR
67%
18%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
3 - 2
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
FAN
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 0
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 3
FAN
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FAN
2 - 2
CRE
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |