Franciacorta vs Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
ADR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 1
SAM
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 2
ADR
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ADR
4 - 2
PSM
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 4
ADR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
USD
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
PSM
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
4 - 0
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
ALF
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 3
CAL
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |