Franciacorta vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
10º
7º
56
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
ADR
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
USB
0 - 2
ADR
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ADR
0 - 2
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ADR
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 2
DES
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 3
GER
31%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
FOL
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ACL
2 - 1
ARC
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USP
1 - 1
ARC
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |