Adra vs UD Pavía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ROQ
2 - 0
CÉL
40%
22%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CÉL
3 - 0
VIA
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HUE
2 - 6
CÉL
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CÉL
5 - 2
DOF
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 5 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ROQ
1 - 0
CÉL
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PAV
2 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 2
PAV
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
PAV
11%
19%
69%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAV
34%
23%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
UDB
1 - 4
PAV
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |