Ascenso Apertura Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Jicaral Sercoba vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jicaral Sercoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ASE
0 - 2
ADR
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 1
ASE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 3
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PGF
2 - 7
ADR
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JFC
1 - 2
ADR
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
JAC
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 3
MUN
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 3
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
4 - 0
QUE
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 1
MUN
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |