Ascenso Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Jicaral Sercoba vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jicaral Sercoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
ADR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 1
QUE
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MRP
3 - 1
ADR
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ADR
4 - 2
SAR
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ADR
4 - 1
COF
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
ADR
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
TUR
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CSU
0 - 3
GUA
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
ASE
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LBS
0 - 2
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |