Ascenso Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Jicaral Sercoba vs Aserrí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jicaral Sercoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 3
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PGF
2 - 7
ADR
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JFC
1 - 2
ADR
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 1
COF
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
ADR
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aserrí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASE
0 - 1
LFC
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 1
ASE
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASE
1 - 0
CSU
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 2
ASE
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASE
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |