ADC San Fermín vs Asoc Retiro Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
33%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADC San Fermín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 1
SAN
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
ADL
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
GND
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AAC
3 - 1
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
LMA
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Asoc Retiro Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASO
2 - 1
GND
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AAC
4 - 3
ASO
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASO
3 - 2
LMA
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
EVM
3 - 3
ASO
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASO
3 - 2
LMJ
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |