ADO Den Haag vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
ADO
1 - 2
SIT
79%
12%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
4 - 2
ADO
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
ADO
0 - 0
MVV
77%
15%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
DWS
4 - 4
ADO
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
GRO
3 - 0
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 3
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |