ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
ZWO
0 - 0
ADO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
MVV
1 - 3
ADO
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ADO
3 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
ADO
0 - 0
PSV
22%
25%
52%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
1 - 0
SPA
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 2
NEC
85%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 1
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
4 - 1
VIT
44%
29%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |