ADO Den Haag vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
ADO
1 - 1
FCO
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
FCE
1 - 0
ADO
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
VOL
1 - 1
ADO
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
ADO
1 - 2
BOS
41%
25%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
TEL
0 - 0
ADO
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
HFC
2 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
HER
2 - 2
TEL
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1998 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
VOL
2 - 0
HER
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
4 - 1
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |