Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 0-4
ADO Den Haag vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 1
ADO
37%
23%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 0
AZA
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 0
DWS
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1968 |
GRA
0 - 2
ADO
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
BRE
3 - 1
KOL
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
KOL
1 - 1
BYM
43%
24%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
STU
6 - 1
KOL
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 0
EBT
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1968 |
MSV
0 - 0
KOL
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |