ADO 20 vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
18º
18º
20
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
57% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
44% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
KON
0 - 0
ADO
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADO
1 - 3
AFC
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ADO
0 - 3
DET
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
KAT
3 - 1
ADO
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
ADO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
3 - 1
SPA
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 0
KON
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 2
AFC
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |