Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
AUS
2 - 1
AWM
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
AWM
4 - 0
RBS
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
RAP
1 - 0
AWM
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
AWM
1 - 1
MAT
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
AWM
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
STR
4 - 2
RBS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
2 - 1
STR
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
STR
0 - 2
RAP
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SWB
2 - 1
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
MAT
3 - 1
STR
26%
25%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |