Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Admira Wien vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1964 |
ADM
1 - 0
AUS
65%
17%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1964 |
ADM
3 - 1
KAP
71%
14%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1964 |
SIM
0 - 2
ADM
48%
20%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
ADM
2 - 0
SVC
84%
9%
7%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1963 |
ADM
4 - 5
AUS
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
WAR
1 - 0
AGF
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
WAR
2 - 0
SBR
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
SBR
4 - 0
WAR
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1928 |
CLO
0 - 1
WAR
39%
20%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |