Admira Dornbirn vs Lochau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
3º
39
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
ADM
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ADM
5 - 2
FCH
76%
13%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
ADM
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ADM
5 - 1
AND
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ADM
3 - 1
ALB
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 0
NEN
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 2
AUS
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCH
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EGG
2 - 1
LOC
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
LOC
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |