ADM Lorquí Sub 19 vs Real Murcia U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
3º
39
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 80 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 71 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 70 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 61 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 50 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 34 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 29 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 23 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
ADM
21%
20%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
ARC
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FUT
3 - 1
ADM
9%
15%
75%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ADM
5 - 1
CIE
49%
22%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 1
ADM
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
REA
5 - 0
EFM
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VDF
2 - 1
REA
21%
20%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
PRO
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 3
REA
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
EDM
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |