ADM Lorquí Sub 19 vs Cartagena FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
3º
34
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 79 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 71 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 60 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 38 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 24 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
18º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
ADM
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 0
RAN
87%
9%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 2
ADM
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 1
MUR
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 5
ADM
23%
20%
58%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 2
EFM
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VDF
3 - 3
CFC
17%
18%
66%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
EFM
3 - 1
CFC
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CFC
4 - 2
BEN
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 0
CFC
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |