ESAE vs Zanaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
AYE
0 - 1
ADJ
56%
26%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
UPI
0 - 2
ADJ
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ADJ
0 - 1
ASP
38%
31%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
SEM
1 - 1
ADJ
41%
29%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ADJ
0 - 2
MOT
4%
14%
83%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MUF
1 - 1
ZAN
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LUR
1 - 1
ZAN
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
ZAN
0 - 3
POW
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ZAN
1 - 1
RSB
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
ZAN
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |