Costa Tropical vs UD Maracena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 3
ADF
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ADF
1 - 3
OTU
69%
16%
15%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
ADF
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ADF
0 - 2
SAN
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 1
ADF
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Maracena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UDM
2 - 5
ALF
51%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 1
SAL
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PUR
2 - 1
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 2
OTU
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PMO
3 - 1
UDM
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |