Costa Tropical vs Puerto de Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CUL
0 - 4
ADF
22%
20%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ADF
3 - 1
CFV
64%
18%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAB
2 - 3
ADF
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADF
4 - 1
MON
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ADF
21%
19%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto de Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PMO
2 - 2
SAL
29%
23%
49%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OTU
4 - 3
PMO
74%
16%
11%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PMO
0 - 6
GUA
13%
17%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
PMO
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
7 - 0
PMO
74%
17%
9%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |